{"id":1719,"date":"2026-04-28T09:52:19","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T09:52:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/?p=1719"},"modified":"2026-04-28T10:34:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T10:34:18","slug":"in-a-fractured-world-order-where-does-the-global-south-fit-in","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/28\/in-a-fractured-world-order-where-does-the-global-south-fit-in\/","title":{"rendered":"In a fractured world order, where does the global south fit\u00a0in?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was one of the first world leaders to speak out about the \u201cruptured\u201d world order caused by the Trump administration in the United States. He <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/mark-carney-in-australia-how-did-he-become-the-darling-of-the-global-anti-trump-movement-277039\">called<\/a> for middle powers to band together to safeguard what\u2019s left of the liberal world order.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But what role will the global south play in all of this?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some believe it will be decisive. Earlier this year, Finland\u2019s president, Alexander Stubb, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.presidentti.fi\/en\/inaugural-address-by-president-of-the-republic-of-finland-alexander-stubb-at-the-raisina-dialogue-2026-in-new-delhi-india-on-5-march-2026\/\">said at a conference in India<\/a>, \u201cthe global south will decide what the next world order will look like\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<div style=\"border-left: 6px solid #d3d3d3; padding-left: 20px; margin: 20px 0;text-align: left;\">\n  <p style=\"font-style: italic; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 22px; line-height: 1.6; color: #333;\">\n    &#8220;The global balance of power has shifted. The global south has both demography and economy on its side. \n    The era of a Western-dominated world order is over. This is obvious, but it will take some time to sink in across the West.&#8221;\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>So, how can the global south influence which direction the world takes?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What is the global south?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>It may be too early to declare the end of the Western-dominated world order. While the war in Iran may be leading some countries to question the current system \u2013 in which might appears to make right \u2013 the global south is far from a unified bloc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First, there is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.org.au\/what-in-the-world-is-the-global-south\/\">no agreed definition or scope<\/a> of the \u201cglobal south\u201d. The name infers countries located in the southern hemisphere, but many global south countries are north of the equator, while Australia and New Zealand are considered part of the \u201cglobal north\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some lump Africa, Latin America and Asia together in the global south grouping, but this is too simplistic. And what to make of a major economy like China? Some include it in the global south, while <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/10\/10\/china-is-not-the-global-south\/\">others do not<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An important feature of the global south is there is no single state widely accepted as its leader, nor is there strong support for such leadership.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While China is influential in parts of the developing world through its \u201cnon-interference\u201d foreign policy approach, India, with its strong ties to the West, is unlikely to accept Chinese global leadership.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/731523\/original\/file-20260422-57-z40n71.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Economic classification of the world\u2019s countries and territories by the UN Conference on Trade and Development in 2023. It\u2019s important to note there is disagreement about which countries belong in this framework. Wikimedia Commons<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The global south and the Iran war<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Whatever definition one uses, the behaviour of some states in the global south shows they are trying to conduct foreign policy with multiple players, joining different clubs to pursue their national interests above all else.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These groups, however, haven\u2019t proven to be very effective or united in responding to recent conflicts, raising questions about their level of influence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/topic\/BRICS\">BRICS<\/a>, for example. The coalition has expanded in recent years to ten countries, including Iran and the United Arab Emirates (which has been attacked by Iran in the current war).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet the group has failed to take a unified position on the war. China and Russia have condemned the US\u2013Israeli attacks on Iran, while other members such as India have taken a cautious approach, calling for de-escalation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lowyinstitute.org\/the-interpreter\/brics-promised-new-world-order-iran-war-shows-it-can-t-deliver\">Some commentators have noted<\/a> a central problem: the BRICS members remain divided on many core strategic issues, without a central platform to resolve disputes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I thought BRICS was supposed to enable Global South countries to help each other, sans the US or West. And yet, since the start of the Iran war, India-led BRICS has had no unified response.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/izxveYpWrx\">https:\/\/t.co\/izxveYpWrx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Derek J. Grossman (@DerekJGrossman) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DerekJGrossman\/status\/2036479389677002834?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 24, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<p>When it comes to the Iran conflict and the future of the Middle East, individual nations in the global south have their own agendas, as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China, for instance, would lose a key partner if the Iranian regime were to collapse. Iran is a member of the China-led <a href=\"https:\/\/eng.sectsco.org\/\">Shanghai Cooperation Organisation<\/a> and an important partner in China\u2019s efforts to create alternatives to Western-dominated governance. Moreover, China relies on a stable, secure access to oil and gas shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pakistan has emerged as a key mediator between the US and Iran. This is a chance for it to take a much bigger role on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2026\/apr\/20\/pakistan-global-standing-mediator-us-iran-talks-middle-east\">global stage<\/a>. But it is also keen to ensure its defence partner, Saudi Arabia, is not drawn into a wider war. Under their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.icanw.org\/pakistan_saudi_arabia_a_mutual_defence_pact_with_nuclear_shadows\">defence arrangement<\/a>, Pakistan would have to assist Saudi Arabia if the kingdom were attacked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And India maintains an independent foreign policy based on \u201cstrategic autonomy\u201d, allowing it to manage relations across competing blocs. As Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=kS1Wm4RdNsw&amp;t=713s\">noted<\/a>, India is not a Western country, nor is it \u201canti-Western\u201d. This allows it to remain a key strategic partner to the United States, while also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/04\/06\/india-iran-oil-imports-strait-hormuz-us-tensions.html#:%7E:text=%22India%20is%20buying%20oil%20from,that%20outlast%20the%20current%20conflict.\">renewing purchases of Iranian oil and gas<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Other ways to exert influence<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In his recent book, <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/finlands-president-alexander-stubb-has-some-ideas-to-save-the-international-order-and-ourselves-280153\">The Triangle of Power<\/a>, Stubb argues the world is dividing into three parts \u2013 the global west (still led by the US), the global east (led by China and Russia) and the global south (comprised of middle and small powers in Africa, Latin America, the Middle East and Asia).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Stubb, the global order is at a crossroads between west and east, with the south being the pendulum that will decide which way the world swings. To maintain the old liberal world order, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.org.au\/bookshelf-a-european-leader-speaks-out\/\">west needs to get the south on its side<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I gave a speech at the UN HQ in Nairobi. <br><br>My thesis is that Global South will determinate the direction of the world order. In a world in turmoil, it has an opportunity to leverage its influence.<br><br>The UN lays the foundations of an order governed by rules, instead of might. But\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/8r7XvLs18v\">pic.twitter.com\/8r7XvLs18v<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Alexander Stubb (@alexstubb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/alexstubb\/status\/1922555292597858574?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 14, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<p>But again, this is too simplistic a view. I believe nations in the global south have a preference for multipolarity, this is, a world order not dominated by one power, such as the United States or China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They are also interested in having their voices heard in the global arena. Because many global south countries are former colonies of Western powers, they want to address the harm or injustices of colonialism they perceive as continuing in the current international system. South Africa\u2019s move to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-middle-east-67922346\">hold Israel accountable<\/a> at the International Court of Justice for its war in Gaza is an example of this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, the current rupture in the international system has reinforced the importance of alternative diplomatic spaces and flexible alignments, allowing states to shift partnerships where it best serves their interests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That means cooperating with the West when it suits them, while simultaneously cooperating with China, Russia or other blocs and powers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indonesia is a case in point. In the past month, it has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lowyinstitute.org\/the-interpreter\/jakarta-risks-flying-blind#:%7E:text=Indonesia%20emphasises%20autonomy%2C%20flexibility%20and,weeks%20following%20regular%20defence%20dialogues.\">signed a major defence agreement<\/a> with Washington, while its president, Prabowo Subianto, also <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2026\/04\/15\/prabowo-indonesia-russia-putin-visit-us-defense-agreement\/\">visited Moscow<\/a> to meet with President Vladimir Putin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The global south is clearly becoming more relevant in today\u2019s power politics. Just how these nations choose to exert their influence remains to be seen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/in-a-fractured-world-order-where-does-the-global-south-fit-in-278410\">original article<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"238\" height=\"238\" src=\"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/hyjzh1tceio5ehidmgskkf80sq79.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1720\" style=\"aspect-ratio:0.8393943007034697;width:157px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/hyjzh1tceio5ehidmgskkf80sq79.jpg 238w, https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/hyjzh1tceio5ehidmgskkf80sq79-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 238px) 100vw, 238px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/dilnoza-ubaydullaeva-2244821\">\nDilnoza Ubaydullaeva<a><\/h3>\n\n<p>\nLecturer &#8211; National Security College, Australian National University<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was one of the first world leaders to speak out about the \u201cruptured\u201d world order caused by the Trump administration in the United States. He called for middle powers to band together to safeguard what\u2019s left of the liberal world order. But what role will the global south play in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1721,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1719","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-article"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1719","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1719"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1719\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1736,"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1719\/revisions\/1736"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1721"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1719"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1719"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the-secularist.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1719"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}